Aug 26th 2019, Crypto Chartbook

All that is needed is a little push

In our last crypto chart book, “Bitcoin Bounce Buying Opportunity“, we discussed upcoming turning points. Using a top-down multiple time frame approach.  Though we advocated a low risk entry point within the next 48 hours, the theme was in not predicting the future. In the end, it did provide quite a profitable trading bounce. The main focus should always be on low risk opportunities and to utilize them with a specific exit strategy, the Quad Exit , in order to mitigate as much risk as possible along the way. We explained that even in the higher time frame monthly view, with a candlestick that needed about two more weeks until completion, the probabilities for strong bounces were probable. The point being is that while it is impossible to predict the market’s turning points 100% of the time, participating with a low-risk entry is not. All that is needed is a little push.

Meaning an edge with a higher probability of one direction over the other.

August 15th 2019, BTC/USDT, daily chart, the setup:

Bitcoin in TetherUS, daily chart as of August 15th 2019

Bitcoin in TetherUS, daily chart as of August 15th 2019

Supporting this tradable reaction (bullish bounce), the weekly chart also provided confluence with a triangle formation. This with the bottom reaching a supply demand zone acting as support (see our last crypto chart book, “Bitcoin Bounce Buying Opportunity“).

Previous market behavior influences future market behavior, because human beings are creatures of habit. So with repeatable psychological patterns, it was only logical to assume that if we had a bounce last time, we would have a high probability of a bounce this time.

All that is needed is a little push, BTC/USDT, 60 minute chart August 25th 2019, the trade entries:

Bitcoin in TetherUS, 60 minute chart as of August 25th 2019

Bitcoin in TetherUS, 60 minute chart as of August 25th 2019

August 25th 2019, BTC/USDT, 15 min chart chart,all that is needed is a little push, the trades in more detail:

Bitcoin in TetherUS, 15 minute chart as of August 25th 2019, All that is needed is a little push

Bitcoin in TetherUS, 15 minute chart as of August 25th 2019

These were the trades taken and posted in real time in our telegram channel! You can see that even though the bounce was brief it was lucrative to participate and very low risk as well (runner returns were 2.1%, 9.5% and 6.9%).

The distinction being that while most traders trade for confirmation, by looking for breakouts out of congestion zones, they often do so in the wrong context. Therefore, they are finding themselves on the wrong side of the move (false breakouts). For those who are risk averse to trading breakouts and would like a lower-risk approach, trading anticipatory provides such an opportunity. And this alongside with smaller stops.

All that is needed is a little push, daily chart of BTC/USDT, 25th of August 2019, double bottom:

Bitcoin in TetherUS, daily chart as of August 25th 2019, All that is needed is a little push

Bitcoin in TetherUS, daily chart as of August 25th 2019

Compare the chart above with the first chart of this publication. It becomes obvious, that this wasn’t the turning point with true follow through just yet. The market rather built a double bottom. This isn’t the point though. There were plenty profits made on an attempt with all that was needed was a little push. A little edge for direction.

What matters is, that there is more than one way to skin a cat. If you find it difficult to sit through the choppy waters of an all in/ all out strategy, consider the Quad Exit strategy! We discuss this strategy in detail in our Telegram channel. It is a tool to hold for extended targets with psychological comfort of taking partial early profits.

All charts timely posted in our telegram channel.

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About the Author:

Outstanding abstract reasoning ability and ability to think creatively and originally has led over the last 25 years to extract new principles and a unique way to view the markets resulting in a multitude of various time frame systems, generating high hit rates and outstanding risk reward ratios. Over 20 years of coaching traders with heart & passion, assessing complex situations, troubleshoot and solve problems principle based has led to experience and a professional history of success. Skilled natural teacher and exceptional developer of talent.Avid learner guided by a plan with ability to suppress ego and empower students to share ideas and best practices and to apply principle-based technical/conceptual knowledge to maximize efficiency. 25+ year execution experience (50.000+ trades executed) Trading multiple personal accounts (long and short-and combinations of the two). Amazing market feel complementing mechanical systems discipline for precise and extreme low risk entries while objectively seeing the whole picture. Ability to notice and separate emotional responses from the decision-making process and to stand outside oneself and one’s concerns about images in order to function in terms of larger objectives. Developed exit strategies that compensate both for maximizing profits and psychological ease to allow for continuous flow throughout the whole trading day. In depth knowledge of money management strategies with the experience of multiple 6 sigma events in various markets (futures, stocks, commodities, currencies, bonds) embedded in extreme low risk statistical probability models with smooth equity curves and extensive risk management as well as extensive disaster risk allow for my natural capacity for risk-taking.


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